Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex Autos released by the US Census Bureau is a monthly data that shows all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes except the automobile sector. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the USD.

Most recent - Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30

Previous
0.7%
Revised
0.7%
Forecast
0.3%
Actual
0.5%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) was 0.5% against a forecast of 0.3%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30
0.3%
0.5%
Monday 17 March 2025 12:30
0.5%
0.3%
Friday 14 February 2025 13:30
0.3%
-0.4%
Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30
0.4%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.2%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
0.3%
0.1%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.2%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.4%
1.1%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.5%
0.3%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
0.2%
-0.6%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.2%
0.4%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.2%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
0%
0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
1%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
0.1%
0.1%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.8%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.1%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
0.8%
2.3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.4%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
0.2%
-0.2%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.1%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0.1%
-0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.4%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.6%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.8%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.3%
0.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.459M1.482M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.494M1.324M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change224K215K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12.5-26.4
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.8%-0.3%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.2%1.4%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change1.3%0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-20-8.1
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change5750.8
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change4.1%4.4%
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change52.647.2
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change56.7
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.2%2.7%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.1%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.5%3.3%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-307B$-161B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.8%2.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.1%2.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change219K223K

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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