Trade Balance (MoM)

The trade balance released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is the difference in the value of its imports and exports of Australian goods. Export data can give an important reflection of Australian growth, while imports provide an indication of domestic demand. Trade Balance gives an early indication of the net export performance. If a steady demand in exchange for Australian exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the AUD.

Most recent - Thursday, 3 April 00:30

Previous
5156M
Revised
5156M
Forecast
5600M
Actual
2968M

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/AUD pairs and bearish for AUD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Thursday, 1 May 01:30

Previous
2968M
Forecast
3130M
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on AUD pairs is high.

The consensus forecast for Trade Balance (MoM) is 3130M. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for AUD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/AUD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Trade Balance (MoM) was 2968M against a forecast of 5600M.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
3 April 2025 00:30
5600M
2968M
6 March 2025 00:30
5500M
5620M
6 February 2025 00:30
7000M
5085M
9 January 2025 00:30
5750M
7079M
5 December 2024 00:30
4500M
5953M
7 November 2024 00:30
5300M
4609M
3 October 2024 01:30
5500M
5644M
5 September 2024 01:30
5150M
6009M
1 August 2024 01:30
5000M
5589M
4 July 2024 01:30
6678M
5773M
6 June 2024 01:30
5500M
6548M
2 May 2024 01:30
7370M
5024M
5 April 2024 00:30
10400M
7280M
7 March 2024 00:30
11500M
11027M
5 February 2024 00:30
-
10959M
11 January 2024 00:30
7500M
11437M
7 December 2023 00:30
7500M
7129M
2 November 2023 00:30
9400M
6786M
5 October 2023 00:30
8725M
9640M
7 September 2023 01:30
10000M
8039M
3 August 2023 01:30
11000M
11321M
6 July 2023 01:30
10500M
11791M
8 June 2023 01:30
14000M
11158M
4 May 2023 01:30
12650M
15269M
6 April 2023 01:30
11100M
13870M
7 March 2023 00:30
12500M
11688M
7 February 2023 00:30
13245M
12237M
12 January 2023 00:30
10500M
13201M
8 December 2022 00:30
1155M
12217M
3 November 2022 00:30
8850M
12444M
6 October 2022 00:30
10500M
8324M
8 September 2022 01:30
14500M
8733M
4 August 2022 01:30
14000M
17670M
7 July 2022 01:30
10725M
15965M
2 June 2022 01:30
9300M
10495M
5 May 2022 01:30
8500M
9314M

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for AUD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Trade Balance (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Judo Bank Composite PMIBearish change51.651.4
Judo Bank Manufacturing PMIBearish change52.151.7
Judo Bank Services PMIBearish change51.651.4
National Australia Bank's Business Confidence (QoQ)Bullish change-5-4
Employment Change s.a.Bullish change-57.5K32.2K
Full-Time EmploymentBullish change-43.8K15K
Participation RateBullish change66.7%66.8%
Part-Time EmploymentBullish change-13.7K17.2K
Unemployment Rate s.a.Bearish change4%4.1%
Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change3.6%4.2%

About Trade Balance (MoM)

Country:Australia
Currency:AUD
Source:Australian Bureau of Statistics
Category:Capital Flows
Frequency:Monthly
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