Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a percentage that surges from dividing the number of unemployed workers by the total civilian labor force. It represents the percentage of people actively seeking employment and willing to work. Usually, as a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its unemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish), although by itself, the number can't determinate the markets move as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payroll.

Most recent - Friday 4 April 2025 12:30

Previous
4.1%
Revised
-
Forecast
4.1%
Actual
4.2%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 2 May 2025 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment Rate yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment Rate was 4.2% against a forecast of 4.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 4 April 2025 12:30
4.1%
4.2%
Friday 7 March 2025 13:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 February 2025 13:30
4.1%
4%
Friday 10 January 2025 13:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 December 2024 13:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 1 November 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.1%
Friday 4 October 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 September 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 2 August 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.3%
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
3.7%
3.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.8%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
3.4%
3.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
3.6%
3.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
3.7%
3.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 6 May 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change5750.8
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change4.1%4.4%
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change52.647.2
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change56.7
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.2%2.7%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.1%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.5%3.3%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-307B$-161B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.8%2.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.1%2.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change219K223K
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4%3.8%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change62.4%62.5%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change117K228K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change8%7.9%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change53.946.2
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change52.250.4
ISM Services PMIBearish change53.550.8
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change62.660.9
S&P Global Composite PMI(no change)53.553.5
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change225K219K
Challenger Job CutsBullish change172.017K275.24K
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change1.8%0.6%
ADP Employment ChangeBullish change84K155K
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBearish change47.644.7
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBearish change48.645.2
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change50.349
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBullish change62.469.4
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change7.762M7.568M
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBullish change45.547.6

About Unemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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